UPDATE: A shocking new poll reveals a tight race in the New York City mayoral election just hours before voters head to the polls. Socialist Democrat Zohran Mamdani leads with 43.9% support, closely followed by former Governor Andrew Cuomo at 39.4%.
The latest data from AtlasIntel indicates a significant shift in voter sentiment as the election nears. Curtis Sliwa, the Republican candidate, trails with 15.5%. If the election were a two-man race, Cuomo would edge out Mamdani with 49.7% to 44.1% support, highlighting the urgency of voter turnout today.
Polling conducted from October 31 to November 2 surveyed 2,404 respondents and carries a margin of error of +/- 2 percentage points. The dynamics of the race have intensified, especially after early voting saw a surge that could push total turnout past 2 million voters for the first time since 1969.
Cuomo’s comeback is striking given his departure from office in 2021 amid sexual harassment allegations. The poll shows he significantly outperformed Mamdani among women, garnering 45.1% support compared to Mamdani’s 37.4%. However, among men, Mamdani leads with 50.9% to Cuomo’s 33%.
Age demographics reveal a stark contrast; Mamdani dominates younger voters aged 18-29 with a staggering 62.2% support, while Cuomo holds a solid lead among those aged 65 and over, securing 54.3% to Mamdani’s 29%.
Analysts note that the race has shifted significantly, particularly with calls for Sliwa to withdraw to consolidate votes against Mamdani. Lee Miringhoff from the Marist Institute for Public Opinion remarked on this shift, noting Sliwa’s support has dropped from 24% to 15.5% in recent polls.
The implications of turnout are critical; Stephen Graves from Gotham Polling stresses that as turnout increases, it tends to favor more moderate candidates like Cuomo, who has been gaining traction among independent voters.
Voters are urged to make their voices heard today as New York City stands poised for an election that could reshape its political landscape. As the clock ticks down to the polls closing, every vote counts in this nail-biting race.
Stay tuned for live updates as results begin to roll in tonight!
