The Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers face off in a crucial matchup on December 31, 2023, with playoff implications for both teams. This game marks the only true win-and-in scenario of Week 18, heightening the stakes as both franchises vie for a spot in the postseason.
In their previous encounter, the Steelers emerged victorious, defeating the Ravens 27–22 four weeks ago. Pittsburgh established a commanding 17–3 lead early in that game, showcasing a strong offensive strategy. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers threw for 284 yards, with a significant portion of those passes directed to wide receiver D.K. Metcalf. However, Metcalf’s suspension for the regular-season finale creates a notable challenge for Pittsburgh.
Returning to the Ravens, quarterback Lamar Jackson is expected to be back on the field after missing the last game. Baltimore will likely focus on their running game, utilizing Derrick Henry after his impressive performance in their last outing against Green Bay. Henry’s 36 rushing attempts in that game set a season high, and the Ravens will aim to replicate that approach against a formidable Steelers defense.
Defensive Matchups and Key Players
One of the significant factors in this matchup is the performance of Pittsburgh’s run defense. Rookie defensive tackle Derrick Harmon has made a noticeable impact on the field, with the Steelers allowing just 3.4 yards per carry when he is active. In contrast, without Harmon, that average rises to 4.5 yards per carry, placing them in the lower tier of the league’s rushing defenses. Historically, the Steelers have excelled at home against the Ravens, covering the spread in their last six home games against this rival, including four outright victories.
For the Steelers, running back Kenneth Gainwell is projected to have limited rushing opportunities. Since Week 10, the Ravens have given up the third-fewest yards per carry, making it imperative for Pittsburgh to adjust their offensive strategy. Gainwell has been outcarried by teammate Jaylen Warren 26 to 16 over the last two weeks, indicating that Warren is expected to be the primary option on the ground.
Betting Insights and Predictions
The current betting line favors the Steelers as home underdogs at +3.5, presenting a 4.6% edge in the PFF model. This line reflects both historical performance and the current dynamics of the teams. As the stakes rise, the match is not only a test of skill but also a mental battle as both teams strive to secure their playoff aspirations.
In summary, the highly anticipated clash between the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday night promises to deliver intense football, with both teams looking to define their postseason fate. As the clock ticks down, all eyes will be on the field to see who will emerge victorious in this pivotal encounter.
