Major League Baseball (MLB) is confronting a significant decline in extra-base hits, specifically doubles and triples, raising questions about the future of the game. As of 2025, the rate of doubles per game has fallen to 1.59, the lowest level in over three decades, and the rate of triples has dropped to an all-time low of 0.13. These trends indicate a pressing need for MLB to consider changes, including potential regulations on outfielder positioning, to revive lost excitement in America’s pastime.
The situation may seem distant, but envision a scene at T-Mobile Park in Seattle in 2030. Outfielder Julio Rodríguez jogs onto the field, where he discovers a distinct line mowed into the grass. This line, dubbed the “This Is How We’re Saving the Doubles and Triples Line,” signifies an experimental effort to address the diminishing number of doubles and triples in the game. According to Baseball Reference, nearly 1,500 doubles have disappeared since 2007, while over 300 triples have vanished since 2015, leading to a stark decrease in offensive action.
The statistics tell a compelling story. In 2007, there were 9,197 doubles recorded, but by 2025, that number had dropped to 7,745. Similarly, triples fell from 939 in 2015 to 628 in 2025. The decline in these statistics highlights how the game has evolved, with defenses adapting to modern analytics that emphasize deep outfield positioning.
Players have taken notice. Alex Bregman remarked that the current defensive strategies effectively negate doubles, stating, “Honestly, it’s like no doubles (defense) out there every night.” Freddie Freeman, known for his prowess in doubles, echoed similar sentiments, acknowledging that hitting doubles has become increasingly difficult due to defensive alignments informed by data.
The trend towards deeper outfield alignment began gaining traction several years ago. In a podcast with The Athletic, former baseball executive Theo Epstein explained that analytics demonstrated that deeper outfield positioning effectively reduces runs by converting potential extra-base hits into outs. This shift in strategy has changed the dynamics of how the game is played.
Data from Statcast indicates that outfielders are now positioned deeper than ever, which has significantly impacted batting statistics. For instance, the batting average for hard-hit line drives to deep center field fell from .541 in 2016 to .403 in 2025. Similarly, slugging percentage on these same hits dropped from 1.091 to 0.791, illustrating the challenge hitters face in achieving extra-base hits.
The increasing reliance on analytics has led to a more sophisticated approach to defensive positioning. Players, coaches, and statisticians now collaborate to determine optimal outfield alignment based on various factors, such as pitcher type and batter tendencies. This precision makes it more challenging for hitters to achieve doubles and triples, as outfielders are adept at positioning themselves where the ball is most likely to land.
Despite the declining numbers, the MLB is aware of the fan’s desire for more action in the game. Epstein highlighted the importance of doubles and triples, noting that fans appreciate the excitement of a deep fly ball and the athleticism displayed in outfield plays. The current trend, where balls in the air often lead to either home runs or outs, lacks the suspense and excitement that once characterized baseball.
As the league considers potential changes, there has been discussion about regulating outfield positioning to encourage more doubles and triples. While no formal proposals have emerged, some executives express openness to exploring options that could enhance the game’s entertainment value without compromising its integrity.
In the meantime, players like Freeman remain hopeful for adjustments that could benefit hitters. He noted the challenges of adapting to new rules but emphasized that the league must find a balance between analytics-driven strategies and providing a captivating experience for fans.
In conclusion, as MLB grapples with the decline of doubles and triples, the potential for rule changes aimed at revitalizing these aspects of the game remains a topic of discussion. With a focus on enhancing fan experience, the league may need to explore innovative solutions that encourage offensive action, ensuring the game remains engaging for future generations.
